by Peter Teffer
Italy starts its working week by being thrown into a political
crisis, as the two eurosceptic parties that wanted to form a government
reached a standoff with Italy's president.
Over the weekend, president Sergio Mattarella rejected academic Paolo
Savona to become a member of the new Italian government, reportedly
because of his eurosceptic views.
In response, Giuseppe Conte dropped his bid to become prime minister,
while the Five Star Movement is calling for the impeachment of
Mattarella.
So how radical is Savona?
According to Italy's president, dangerously so.
"The uncertainty about our position in the euro has alarmed Italian
and foreign investors who have invested in our bonds and companies," the
president said according to agency Ansa.
The concerns seem to revolve around Savona's eurosceptic views, in
particular about passages from his latest book "Like a Nightmare and a
Dream", in which Savona called the euro a "German cage".
The 81-year old would-be finance chief wrote that "we need to prepare
a plan B to get out of the euro if necessary ... the other alternative
is to end up like Greece."
But is that really such a radical position to take?
During the height of the euro crisis in 2012, national governments of
EU countries were often asked whether a plan B existed in case the
common currency collapsed.
It was always denied, but some years later it emerged that at least two countries had elaborated plan Bs.
Ironically, these were two of the most hawkish euro countries: the Netherlands and Germany.
Former Dutch finance minister and Eurogroup chief Jeroen Dijsselbloem admitted in 2014 his country had had a plan B.
"It is true that [the ministry of] finance and the then government
had also prepared themselves for the worst scenario", he said then.
"Government leaders, including the Dutch government, have always
said: we want to keep that eurozone together. But [the Dutch government]
also looked at: what if that fails. And it prepared for that," he said.
On Sunday afternoon (27 May), Savona himself came out with a statement, in which he tried to defuse the debate.
"I want a different, stronger, but fairer Europe," he said.
That said, Savona is a long-time critic of several aspects of European integration.
As far back as 2004, he criticised the Stability and Growth Pact as too rigid,and called for public investments to be exempt.
Ahead of the euro introduction, in a 2001 paper, Savona struck a less controversial tone.
"When European Monetary Union came into being, its architects
realised that it would be impossible to create a single European market
if monetary management was unified while individual member nations
retained 15 different currencies affected by flexible exchange rates,"
he wrote.
"I don't think anyone would object to the statement that a single
market requires the existence of a single currency, or, as a second-best
option, the retention of national currencies linked by fixed exchange
rates, and, as a fundamental prerequisite, the free movement of capital
in all forms and under any sort of maturity," Savona added.
Nevertheless, even calling for a plan B in case the euro fails is sensitive.
The European debate, as well as most national elections in EU
countries, since Brexit has been framed as the pro-EU mainstream
battling against anti-EU populists.
Although some feared victories for anti-EU forces in France, Germany,
and the Netherlands last year did not follow through, the threat to the
pro-European mainstream from those that criticise the system is far
from over.
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